Zoning or not, the ODM’s dominance in Nyanza at stake

By FLEVIAN GEOFFREY: The political landscape of Luo Nyanza is witnessing a sharp escalation in tensions as the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) pivots toward a “zoning” strategy, threatening the stability of its newfound alliance with the United Democratic Alliance (UDA).

What began as a quiet administrative adjustment within the Broad-Based Government is now exploding into a public tug-of-war.

ODM members, who previously championed the “we are in government to stay” mantra, have shifted their rhetoric toward protecting their regional turf and demanding an “equal share” of power within their pact with President William Ruto’s UDA.

Zoning a,tactic historically used by ODM to stifle internal competition and consolidate its grip on the Nyanza region is being revived as a defensive shield.

The proposal, however, has hit a wall of fierce resistance from UDA-allied aspirants in the region.

These critics argue that zoning is an undemocratic relic that disenfranchises voters by limiting their choices at the ballot box.

Defending the move, Awendo MP Walter Owino (ODM) suggested that the strategy is a direct response to the national power structure.

Speaking to supporters in his backyard, Owino drew a direct parallel between regional seats and the country’s top office.
“If UDA has already zoned the presidency from ODM, what is wrong with ODM zoning her strongholds?” the lawmaker challenged.

The debate arrives at a delicate moment. While both parties currently operate under the umbrella of the Broad-Based Government and have pledged to support President Ruto’s 2027 re-election bid, the “zoning” friction suggests a marriage of convenience rather than a unified front.

As the 2027 General Election draws closer, the internal rift poses a significant question for political analysts: Can the Broad-Based Government survive its own internal competition?

While the leadership at the top maintains a facade of unity, the “zoning” war in Luo Nyanza reveals a deepening mistrust.

If a compromise is not reached, the very umbrella meant to shelter both parties may be torn apart by the winds of regional interest long before the first vote is cast. 

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