A new nationwide opinion poll conducted by Infotrak Research and Consulting reveals that the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) led by President William Ruto, has officially unseated the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) as Kenya’s most popular political party, while a newly formed outfit has surged into third place.

According to the popularity tier list, UDA leads with 22percent support, marking a steady rise from the 16% it recorded in September 2024.

Conversely, ODM has dropped to 21percent from a high of 38percent over the same period, representing a sharp 17-point decline.

Meanwhile, the Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) has made an aggressive entry into the country’s political landscape, securing 9% support to firmly establish itself as the third-largest political force.

The Jubilee Party ranks fourth nationally at 6percent, followed closely by the Wiper Democratic Front (WDF) at 5percent to complete the top five active party preferences.

Despite these heightened political alignments, the survey exposes a heavily uncommitted general public, leaving a vast section of the electorate unaligned.

A notable 29percent of voters state that they do not identify with any political party, while another 7percent completely refused to disclose their political leanings.

This large pocket of unattached voters highlights a highly fluid electorate across the country.

Beyond the top tiers, a wide array of other registered entities attracted only minimal, fragmented traction across the 47 counties.

These lesser-ranked outfits include FORD-Kenya, KANU, PDP, PNU, Maendeleo Chap Chap, MDG, PLP, Usawa Kwa Wote, UGM, Thirdway Alliance, Ukweli Party, FAP, NARC, Muungano Party, RBK, PEP, KNC, and CCM.

The comprehensive study relied on a robust survey methodology, interviewing a sample size of 3,000 adult respondents drawn from all 47 counties between the field dates of June 22 and June 26, 2026.

Data collection utilized a mixed-mode methodology that combined Computer-Assisted Personal Interviews (CAPI) with Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI).

As a strategic takeaway, with more than 36percent of the country currently refusing to align with established political outfits, there remains immense territory for both the ruling party and the opposition to expand their voter blocks as future campaigns and coalition building inevitably intensify.